Wisconsin faces one more non-conference foe this weekend before the rest of its Big Ten schedule revs up to full gear.
UW (2-3 overall, 1-2 Big Ten) hosts Army (4-1) at home inside Camp Randall Stadium on Saturday (7 p.m. CT, BTN). BadgerBlitz.com brings forth its “Five Burning Questions” for what could be a grinding battle between two run-based offenses who also boast the ability to halt opponents’ ground games.
It's a strength-on-strength matchup once again for Wisconsin this week. Army ranks No. 2 in the nation in rushing yards per game (318.2) on 4.9 yards per carry with 19 touchdowns. As discussed ad nauseam this week, the Black Knights run its vaunted triple-option, flexbone offense.
The scheme consists mostly of runs and can feature three players in the backfield besides the quarterback. It stresses an opponent's defense by presenting multiple potential avenues the play could go, so defenders absolutely must adhere to their individual assignments.
Thankfully for Wisconsin, it enters the contest with the No. 1 rush defense in the nation, allowing a mere 41.4 yards per game on 1.6 yards per attempt. Wisconsin has allowed an opponent to go over the century mark on the ground just once this season (Michigan, who gained 112 yards but on just 2.5 yards per carry).
Defensive end Matt Henningsen stated on Monday that Army is "an uncomfortable matchup for anyone."
"Like when you watch them, it’s not something that you see," Henningsen added. "I can't say that I love the matchup, but I'm excited for the opportunity because they're a good team and it's something different. I love having chances to do something different."
This truly will be a game won at the line of scrimmage (writer's note: I really feel I've been saying that a lot lately, and it’s so cliche, but it’s definitely true with the 2021 Badgers).
Wisconsin rebounded from a couple weeks of ground game gaffes to put up 391 yards against Illinois last Saturday. Chez Mellusi and Braelon Allen formed a dynamic duo in the backfield, combining for 276 yards and one touchdown each in the lopsided, dominating affair.
Army, however, is no slouch against the run this season. It currently ranks third in the FBS, two spots below Wisconsin, and allows 61.2 yards per contest. Opponents have averaged only 2.7 yards per carry.
Mellusi believes Army's personnel stands out.
"I think people look at academies and think that they're not very big, but they have a pretty big front, like kind of along a Big Ten front," Mellusi said on Monday. "So I'm excited to dive into the film a little bit more."
Wisconsin's defense is once again the strength of the team. In addition to the aforementioned rush defense prowess, it ranks third in the FBS in total defense (217.8) and third-down conversion defense (23.9%).
However, one area Jim Leonhard's unit has lacked through five games is creating turnovers. UW holds only three to its name. There have been opportunities presented to do so this season, but they have not capitalized upon said chances.
Leonhard was asked if he kept track of the missed turnovers like some teams keep track of dropped passes on offense, and what his conversations are with his players. The coordinator smiled and laughed while the question was being raised (see the tweet from WOZN's Zach Heilprin below for full facial reaction).
"It's not something necessarily that I track, but I mean at some point it's getting a little ridiculous, man. We got to catch the ball," Leonhard said on Monday. "It's taking advantage of the opportunities, and hit the group yesterday and after the game, like it didn't matter today, right? Didn't matter on that day, but we've been in games already this year where it did. Causing one or two of those turnovers make all the difference in the world. You have to take advantage.
"It's a consistency thing. You know the opportunities are going to vary. They're going to come at different times in the game. Said you get a team that has to be more aggressive down the field will those opportunities, they're there a little bit more often. To me, it comes from a frustration because it's not like it's every day. They're going out they're capitalizing on their opportunities and creating turnovers all week long. We got to get it done on Saturday, and we got to finish those plays because like I said, there's already been weeks this season where that key turnover changes everything."
Army has only coughed up the ball three times this year.
Wisconsin did not need the pass to win in Champaign last weekend. While there were some positives in the passing game, the offense also showed similar inconsistencies that were in some cases microcosms of the season to date.
First the positives. The offensive line did not allow a sack against an Illinois defense that boasted 15 coming into the game. Quarterback Graham Mertz, in the first drive of the third quarter, completed three passes to move the chains on third down. The third-year signal-caller also looked more comfortable in the pocket.
Looking at the other side of things: Mertz completed only 10-of-19 passes for 100 yards. He did not throw a touchdown pass, but he aired out a deep throw late to an open Kendric Pryor that was intercepted. Mertz also missed a wide open Jake Ferguson on a throw that hung up and was under-thrown as well on the first drive of the second half. That latter example did not matter as much since Wisconsin eventually scored that series.
Army allows 215 yards per game through the air, but it also has 13 sacks through five games. Can Wisconsin keep Mertz upright on Saturday -- and the rest of the season -- and when given the time and protection, can he make the right progressions to hit his targets for gains?
For the first time all season, UW went over 50% on third-down conversions when it moved the chains on 7-of-13 opportunities last week against Illinois. That being said, they still rank in the bottom third of the FBS overall (31.1%).
Army enters the non-conference clash having allowed 18 of 51 third-down conversions (35.3%). Before Big Ten play kicks up for the rest of the regular season, can UW make it consecutive weeks trending in the right direction?
This stat could loom large for the contest's outcome as both teams enjoy controlling time of possession. The Black Knights rank first in the nation in time of possession, holding the ball an average of 39:46 in game time. The Badgers sit not too far behind at No. 4 in the country, clocking in at 35:40. Whoever wears down the other's defense will have the advantage in Madison this weekend.